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Emini S&P Battleplan Aug 8, 2016

2016 Aug 8 Mon 9:11:14 | by Lawrence

Overview

Emini overnight range 2176.00 to 2183.00 (at 9:00 am)

Overnight Midpoint 2179.50

Previous Day Mid 2172.00

 

Battleplan for the Day

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Review of Forecast for Aug 1, 2016


No 1% move in either direction led to range bounded actions, so 2% breakout play not triggered. Longer term breadth sell setups not confirmed yet. Intraday volatility spikes as expected. The breadth analog model did a good job last week.

Forecast Starting Aug 8, 2016


Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the close of Aug 5, 2016:
  • Volatility in breakout mode with potential in both directions
  • Breakout setup for 2% or more swing this week in either direction with bias for the upside
  • 1% move in one direction will likely give us 2% in same direction
  • Longer term breadth divergence sell setups weaken

For timely update including real-time trading signals and analysis join us today.

Report Snapshot


custom_market_breadth_20160807

Short Explanation About The Model


My market breadth based analog model takes into account the short term volatility, daily market breadth readings and a few other intraday breadth data to identify the current market conditions. Using the information, the model then went through the historical data over the past 20 years to generate its statistical analysis. The model has been pretty good at identifying important swing tops and bottoms over the past few years by providing early warnings about potential volatility upticks.

For the technical explanation of the concept, you can read about it here, Market Breadth Primer: Market Breadth Analog Forecasting Method

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Emini S&P Battleplan Aug 5, 2016

2016 Aug 5 Fri 8:53:02 | by Lawrence

Overview

Emini overnight range 2159.00 to 2167.50 (at 8:50 am)

Overnight Midpoint 2163.25

Previous Week Mid 2162.00

 

Battleplan for the Day

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2016 Aug 3
Emini S&P Battleplan Aug 4, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2154.75 to 2164.25 (at 8:45 am) Overnight Midpoint 2159.50 Previous Week Mid 2162.00   Battleplan for the Day (premium member only content below) See the chart below for key price zones ...

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2016 Aug 2
Emini S&P Battleplan Aug 2, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2157.50 to 2171.00 (at 9:00 am) Overnight Midpoint 2164.25 Previous Week Mid 2162.00   Battleplan for the Day (premium member only content below) See the chart below for key price zones ...

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2016 Jul 31
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Aug 1, 2016

Review of Forecast for Jul 25, 2016 No 1% move in either direction led to range bounded actions, so 2% breakout play not triggered. Breadth sell setups not confirmed yet. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting Aug ...

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2016 Jul 29
Emini S&P Battleplan Jul 29, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2157.50 to 2168.00 (at 9:00 am) Overnight Midpoint 2162.75 Previous Week Mid 2161.00   Battleplan for the Day (premium member only content below) See the chart below for key price zones ...

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2016 Jul 28
Emini S&P Battleplan Jul 28, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2156.50 to 2168.50 (at 8:50 am) Overnight Midpoint 2162.50 Previous Week Mid 2161.00   Battleplan for the Day (premium member only content below) See the chart below for key price zones ...

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2016 Jul 27
Emini S&P Battleplan Jul 27, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2158.25 to 2165.00 (at 9:05 pm) Overnight Midpoint 2161.50 Previous Week Mid 2161.00   Battleplan for the Day (premium member only content below) See the chart below for key price zones ...

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2016 Jul 26
Emini S&P Battleplan Jul 26, 2016  premium content

Overview Emini overnight range 2158.25 to 2165.00 (at 9:05 pm) Overnight Midpoint 2161.50 Previous Week Mid 2161.00   Battleplan for the Day (premium member only content below) See the chart below for key price zones ...

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