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S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast

Weekly comments on the forecast made by the S&P market breadth analog model. Daily update of the report is available in Daily Market Breadth Monitor (US Indices).

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custom_market_breadth_20161123
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Nov 28, 2016

Review of Forecast for Nov 21, 2016 Thanksgiving week led to updrift all week. Volatility spike did not materialized. Slingshot move not enough time to unfold due to shorten trading hours. The breadth analog model did nothing last week. Forecas ...

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custom_market_breadth_20161111
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Nov 21, 2016

Review of Forecast for Nov 14, 2016 Monday held up at previous week close as support and slow drift higher since. More upside expectation worked out with previous week higher challenged. No 1.5% drop so a slide to 2.5% did not materialize. The bre ...

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custom_market_breadth_20161111
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Nov 14, 2016

Review of Forecast for Nov 7, 2016 Monday gap up and go as forecasted that a bounce is due on Monday. By Tuesday the up push was more than 1.5% and terminated the down trend. Overnight election results dropped 5% across the major indices and led t ...

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custom_market_breadth_20161104
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Nov 7, 2016

Review of Forecast for Oct 31, 2016 Attempted to bounce on Monday as expected. Dropped to 1.5% and opened the door to 2.5% downside move as forecasted. NFP Friday slowed down the drop but we still get a close at the low of the week. The breadth an ...

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custom_market_breadth_20161028
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Oct 31, 2016

Review of Forecast for Oct 24, 2016 Limited upside as expected. Overall dropped to 1.5% boundary only hence 2.5% downside move not activated. As projected, sudden reversal happened all week with gaps above and below previous trading day extremes. ...

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custom_market_breadth_20161021
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Oct 24, 2016

Review of Forecast for Oct 17, 2016 Monday did not challenge Friday high, so no directional push towards previous week low. Instead, we got consolidation all week. The breadth analog model did nothing last week. Forecast Starting Oct 24, 2016 ...

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custom_market_breadth_20161014
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Oct 17, 2016

Review of Forecast for Oct 10, 2016 Forecast of 2% breakdown move was spot on. As expected, swing top formed. The breadth analog model did a perfect job last week. Forecast Starting Oct 17, 2016 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast ...

2 comments


custom_market_breadth_20161007
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Oct 10, 2016

Review of Forecast for Oct 3, 2016 Forecast of more upside completely wrong due to multiple bearish events unfolded. Hence no blowoff top made. Swing top potentially formed the Friday before last week. The breadth analog model did a poor job last ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160930
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Oct 3, 2016

Review of Forecast for Sep 26, 2016 Forecast of limited downside of 1.5% was spot. 2% swing up did not happen thanks to Deutsche Bank crisis but bullish bias kept S&P up very well. The breadth analog model did a good job last week. Forecast ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160923
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Sep 26, 2016

Review of Forecast for Sep 19, 2016 Forecast of 1% or more wild swings throughout the week did not happen as everyone waited for FOMC announcement. Intraday volatility collapsed until FOMC announcement. 2% swing up happened before hitting resistan ...

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