S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast

Weekly comments on the forecast made by the S&P market breadth analog model. Daily update of the report is available in Daily Market Breadth Monitor (US Indices).

alphabetical order | posting date

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breadth_forecast_20150424
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 27, 2015

Review of Forecast for Apr 20, 2015 First attempt to go higher last week was capped at the 1.5% boundary as forecasted last week. Yet by mid week the selling failed to produce the strong downside risk scenario as forecasted. That in turn led to an ...

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breadth_forecast_20150417
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 20, 2015

Review of Forecast for Apr 13, 2015 All attempts to go higher last week are capped below the 1% boundary as forecasted last week. Forecast of strong downside risk was also materialized. Forecast from last week nailed the scenario completely. The b ...

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breadth_forecast_20150410
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 13, 2015

Review of Apr 6, 2015 Monday gap down capped by 1% drop and it led to a mega run all the way back up to +1.5% from the prior week close. Forecast from last week nailed this precisely. The breadth analog model did an excellent job again. Forecas ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150402
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Apr 6, 2015

Review of Mar 30, 2015 Bounce of 1% early in the week was spot on. The continuation selling right after was also an excellent call. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast Starting Apr 6, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 ...

3 comments


market_breadth_forecast_20150328
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 30, 2015

Review of Mar 23, 2015 Limited upside bias with more downside risk realized. The more negative outlook was not available until after Monday though. Overall an accceptable risk forecast comparing to almost everyone calling for the market to go high ...

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S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 23, 2015

Review of Mar 16, 2015 Bullish bias realized for the week. Even though FOMC decision has driven S&P going straight up, S&P500 could barely enter the +2.5% boundary. A good forecast overall.   Forecast Starting Mar 23, 2015 Summary of ...

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S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 16, 2015

Review of Mar 9, 2015 Forecast Downside risk within 2.5% was realized and Trend Down was in force all week. First posted forecast did a good job.   Forecast Starting Mar 16, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my prop ...

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breadth_forecast_20150306
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 9, 2015

Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the close on March 6, 2015: Downside risk of 2.5% or more still exist but under control. In coming 10 days, S&P500 is more likely to d ...

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