The Lawrence Chan Blog

I have diverse interest in many things from science and technology to martial arts and ancient health practices. Obviously, discussion of these topics should be done within my own blog as oppose to keeping them here. Hence my blog is created so that I can have a venue to express my creativity and thoughts on my other interests. For those of you who share similar interests, you can check out my site TheLawrenceChan.com

Due to the sheer volume of articles I have written about trading, many of which are trading related yet not technically in line with what DaytradingBias.com is offering, they have to be split from my blog into yet another site. Hence for my non-technical writings about trading, videos I have curated from various sources that I think are useful for traders and my reviews of trading related products, you can find them at the site Essence of Trading

The reason why I picked the Tai Chi picture above for this page is best explained by my article Tai Chi Traders in a World of Chaos at Essence of Trading.

Below are the old blog posts that were originally posted here. To avoid broken links from other sites, I have decided to keep them here.



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Dan Ariely: What makes us feel good about our work?

2013 Apr 17 Wed 21:24:16 | by Lawrence

A nice Ted Talk on what drives us to work.

 

This video has interesting information about the relationship among motivation, quality of our work and the direct reward factor. The talk focuses on people working in teams and companies in the beginning. Then it moves onto more personal level experience. It shows us important considerations on the type of work we do and how it is structured can lead to better productivity and happier workers.

As a trader, we are our own boss. That means if we do not structure our trading business properly, it will suffer and directly affect our bottom line. This talk makes me think and I plan to modify my daily routine to see if it helps me getting better results.

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Trading With Tick Index: The History Of NYSE Tick Index

2013 Apr 16 Tue 20:43:09 | by Lawrence

iStock_000015040874SmallWhen I talk about NYSE Tick Index, there is a confusion where my data comes from. The confusion happens because some people find that the Tick Index they loaded onto their charts look completely different from mine. There is a good reason why that is the case and there is no need to panic that your data feed is not providing the same data to you. I will give you a detail account why this discrepancy exists.

The Original NYSE Tick Index

As far as I can recall, the original NYSE Tick Index was introduced by NYSE for the floor traders but it was since discontinued after a short period of time. Thus, there is really no real official NYSE Tick Index since. So what is this NYSE Tick Index I am talking about all along?

The S&P Comstock NYSE Tick Index

Well, it is a long story.

Since NYSE no longer computes its own Tick Index, the data vendor S&P Comstock took the challenge and recreated the index themselves. It made the index available to professional traders who subscribe to their real-time data service. At that time, real-time data was delivered through satellite broadcast, land line direct hook up, and FM transmission.

This effort made by S&P Comstock extended the life of the Tick Index. Since then, many traders developed trading techniques around the Tick Index. Eventually, Tick Index became famous in the professional trading community.

The DBC Tick Index

The major exchanges did not have the facility to allow many direct connections to their data centers in the old days (1980s). S&P Comstock is one of the few data services that secured the right to such direct connection. Hence, the retail data vendors, like Data Broadcasting Corporation (DBC), has to redistribute data from S&P Comstock. This enforced the same NYSE Tick Index distributed to the public at the time.

In short, there was only one NYSE Tick Index in the old days.

The eSignal Tick Index

Fast forward to current time, S&P Comstock, Data Broadcasting Corp., and a few other data vendor companies have merged into one big company. DBC’s data service called Signal in the old days has been rebranded as eSignal since the internet era. The NYSE Tick Index that these companies send out in real-time is still the same NYSE Tick Index.

The Unexpected Effect From More Direct Exchange Connections

A significant change has happened since when the exchanges opened up their data to more direct connections to data vendors. Many data vendors no longer need to redistribute data from S&P Comstock. They can all connect directly to the exchanges and bypass the middle-man. The advantage of that is faster (and timely) data delivery which is very important. But these data vendors and the direct access brokerages who stream their own data to their customers no longer have the NYSE Tick Index available to their clients.

Their solution, instead of licensing the one offered by S&P Comstock, is to create their own versions of the NYSE Tick Index. And that is where the trouble begins. The tick indices created by these firms do not resemble the original NYSE Tick Index. If they do, however, I suspect that it may become a very sensitive issue because it can be borderline infringement of the copyright to the index construction process.

These various favours of the NYSE Tick Index has caused confusions and frustrations among traders.

The TradeStation Tick Index

TradeStation used to redistribute data from one of the major data vendors thus its NYSE Tick Index was the same as the one offered by eSignal. But I have not looked into what TradeStation offers now, so I am not sure if they are still doing the same.

The DTN IQ and DTN IQFeed Tick Index

DTN’s NYSE Tick Index is definitely not the same as the eSignal one. They look similar but there are subtle differences between the two. Hence you cannot directly apply statistical studies done on the eSignal NYSE Tick Index to the DTN one and expect to get the same results. It will take a separate article to explain the difference and how to adapt your work from one to another.

Summary

My version of the history may not be completely correct since I am reporting what I know from a client’s point of view. There could be details that I missed. If you know something about this and would like to expand on the story please send me email or comment on the article.

As a subscriber to all these data services over the years, I can say that the worst time during the transition was the time when the direct access brokerages and smaller data vendors started to jump ship from being data redistributors to direct exchange connections. Various cash indices, including the NYSE Tick Index, were stitched together with data they got from the past, yet the real-time one they broadcast are generated by themselves.

Just think about the horror created when moving a trading model from using eSignal data into one using a direct access brokerage’s data, where the trading model no longer fire off signals as expected.

At this point, as the data vendors have all generated their own Tick Index for a long time, it is no longer a big deal switching data services or brokerages. As long as you are aware that the tick indices may not be the same among data sources, you can adjust your trading strategy to deal with the change.

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Gold Reached First Downside Target

2013 Apr 15 Mon 17:09:56 | by Lawrence

Spike and ledge first target reached.

image

As long as the baseline of the spike and ledge acts as resistance, the next target below is in play.

One comment


An Exceptional Week For Bitcoin

2013 Apr 12 Fri 20:43:25 | by Lawrence

The talk of the town just gets more controversial this week.

image

Melt up to $200.

Then zoomed to $260 before crashing down hard to $110.

Bounced back to $200 before another wave of selling so powerful that the main Bitcoin market has to halt its trading.

Traded as low as $70s before recovering quickly back to $140.

We are not talking about 10% swings here. We are talking about 50% drops and 100% rally in hours over the past few days for Bitcoin.

As mentioned in my previous article on Bitcoin, it is not for normal people yet. The volatility we just witnessed confirms this point. As a currency, normal people probably cannot stomach such swing without suffering emotional turmoil. Bitcoin just delayed its chance to become a currency replacement after this incident.

It is, however, definitely a great toy for speculators and gamblers.

Reportedly, someone has organized a structured fund on Bitcoin. When it is ready, Bitcoin will be shortable too. It will be very interesting to see how that works out in coming months.

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Visit the main real-time charting site for Bitcoin just now and I got this.

 

image

 

It was unreachable earlier when Bitcoin was down 20%.

It is reportedly down 40% at this point.

It is always a bad thing for markets not being able to keep themselves open when people starts to panic.

It induces more panic selling.

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2013 Apr 9
Bitcoin, Its Alternatives and Future of Money

Huge buzz about the Bitcoin rally lately among internet sites and mainstream media. There are many interesting discussion of what it is and how it is going (or not going) to change the world. Here is my take. 3 Factors Making A Currency Functional …

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2013 Apr 8
Nasdaq Composite At Critical Juncture Now

The chart of Nasdaq Composite below. If this is the anti-crash climax following power law distribution like what happened to Nikkei many years ago, not only the crash low will be retested, it will be also take as long as the time it spent on this …

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2013 Apr 8
Reviews At Amazon In Sync Now

Glad that I finally finished posting my review summaries at Amazon. It feels good when something is actually completed when I notice my to-do list is forever expanding. On to other tasks now! …

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2013 Apr 8
False Breakout – The Most Misunderstood Pattern  premium content

Part of Art of Chart Reading Traders often focus on how accurate certain chart patterns are and how much money you can make from using the patterns. The more experienced ones would add to their consideration of the risk reward profile of the pattern …

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2013 Apr 7
Warning From Interactive Brokers

IB has gone full margin on JGB and all other related Japanese financial instruments. Here we go again. …

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