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E-Mini S&P500 Trading Research Central

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I daytrade the emini S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index future contracts. My inventions on market breadth are specialized in the identification of short term stock market index behaviours. Hence I have a large body of research work done on the index related markets. My take on price movements and price behaviour is not conventional and my research articles clearly reflect that.

When I am not trading and have spare time on hand, I would review my research notes and write up summaries. The process is slow and time consuming. But I know if I do not do so, my research work will stay behind the closed doors of financial institutions. I hope my work will make a difference among retail traders for generations to come.

For trading signals and real-time trading tools visit S&P500 Signals


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Emini SP Double Gap Statistics
Double Gap Statistics  member only

Gaps not filled the same day is a rare event in Emini S&P. It happens less than 4% of the time. Whenever it happens though, it produces a very consistent bias for the next trading day that is exploitable.

If you do not know what gaps are, please read about it in Outside Gap Behaviour, Then and Now.

...

One comment


Emini_RTH_PriceProjection
Emini S&P Afterhours Behaviour Part 4 - Statistics on Projected RTH Price Boundaries  member only

One set of the statistics that I often mention in the real-time chat is the AH High / Low / Mid statistics. For the Emini S&P, Nasdaq 100, and Dow, these index future contracts have 2 separate trading sessions. First the regular trading hours (R ...

No comment yet


ES 24 Hours 30-Min Distribution Study 4_20120212_032412
Emini S&P Afterhours Behaviour Part 3 – Distribution Study on AH Range  member only

AH Range Distribution Following is the distribution of AH range for Emini S&P since mid 2005. [DTBMember] Important observations from the distribution. 1. There is no mistake that it is a classic t-distribution. The right side count spi ...

5 comments


ES 24 Hours 30-Min Distribution Study 3_20120207_181436
Emini S&P Afterhours Behaviour Part 2 - A Simple System Exploiting the Basic Up Drift Bias  member only

A simple trading system that exploit the up drift bias that happens in afterhours. The System The rules are extremely simple, Go long by 4:30 pm (for some people this is important due to holding position from regular trading session requires fu ...

3 comments


ES 24 Hours 30-Min Distribution Study 2_20120207_082243
Emini S&P Afterhours Behaviour Part 1 - Distribution Study on AH High and Low

A series of articles on Emini S&P 500 afterhours characteristics, biases, and trading strategies. A Look at the Price Distribution Following is the price distribution of, AH High - AH Open (2nd pane) AH Low - AH Open (3rd pane) The cha ...

2 comments


Usual Strategies Used to Pop the Stock Market

When the stock market is selling off in panic mode, the authorities would step in. It is not something new. It is not personal. Things are done in the name of calming or stabalizing the markets. Although these measures may not be effective at all, ...

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S&P Credit Rating Cut on United States Initial Reactions

Initial reactions to the rating cut is exactly as predicted - target evaluation changes across the stock market indices, bonds, etc. by famous brokerage firms. The all too normal reactions from the Fed and G8, G20 officials also happened. Fede ...

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S&P Week Range Behaviour

A simple statistical exercise showing how S&P weekly trading range is closely related to and affected by its prior week’s trading range. The Distribution Following is a distribution chart of the weekly trading range represented in percentage te ...

One comment


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Inside Gap Behaviour

This is the second instalment on emini S&P gap behaviour. The first one is Outside Gap Behaviour, Now and Then. Inside gaps are gaps that do not have the open price printed outside of the previous trading day range. Fashioned in the same style ...

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Lunar Cycle - Long Only Model  member only

I have one of my guys worked on this and here is the result of a trading system based on lunar cycle that looks like it works. ...

2 comments


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