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E-Mini S&P500 Trading Research Central

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I daytrade the emini S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index future contracts. My inventions on market breadth are specialized in the identification of short term stock market index behaviours. Hence I have a large body of research work done on the index related markets. My take on price movements and price behaviour is not conventional and my research articles clearly reflect that.

When I am not trading and have spare time on hand, I would review my research notes and write up summaries. The process is slow and time consuming. But I know if I do not do so, my research work will stay behind the closed doors of financial institutions. I hope my work will make a difference among retail traders for generations to come.

For trading signals and real-time trading tools visit S&P500 Signals


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ES 24 Hours 30-Min Distribution Study 2_20120207_082243
Emini S&P Afterhours Behaviour Part 1 - Distribution Study on AH High and Low

A series of articles on Emini S&P 500 afterhours characteristics, biases, and trading strategies. A Look at the Price Distribution Following is the price distribution of, AH High - AH Open (2nd pane) AH Low - AH Open (3rd pane) The cha ...

2 comments


Usual Strategies Used to Pop the Stock Market

When the stock market is selling off in panic mode, the authorities would step in. It is not something new. It is not personal. Things are done in the name of calming or stabalizing the markets. Although these measures may not be effective at all, ...

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S&P Credit Rating Cut on United States Initial Reactions

Initial reactions to the rating cut is exactly as predicted - target evaluation changes across the stock market indices, bonds, etc. by famous brokerage firms. The all too normal reactions from the Fed and G8, G20 officials also happened. Fede ...

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S&P Week Range Behaviour

A simple statistical exercise showing how S&P weekly trading range is closely related to and affected by its prior week’s trading range. The Distribution Following is a distribution chart of the weekly trading range represented in percentage te ...

One comment


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Inside Gap Behaviour

This is the second instalment on emini S&P gap behaviour. The first one is Outside Gap Behaviour, Now and Then. Inside gaps are gaps that do not have the open price printed outside of the previous trading day range. Fashioned in the same style ...

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Lunar Cycle - Long Only Model  member only

I have one of my guys worked on this and here is the result of a trading system based on lunar cycle that looks like it works. ...

2 comments


ES 5-min QE Buy_20110617_154157
Impact of Quantitative Easing on Stock Market Indices

Everyone on the street talks about Quantitative Erasing and that it is messing up the markets, causing inflations, etc. Can we really identify the characteristic change in the S&P that distinctly separate its behaviour from its normal self, or, is th ...

One comment


Outside Gap Behaviour, Then and Now

Many traders who daytrade emini S&P probably are familiar with the gap fill bias. What I am going to show here is how a particular type of gap fill, outside gap, has changed over time. Gaps are created when a market open at a price different from ...

2 comments


Gap (Up) and Go Failure  member only

One very reliable pattern showed up today (Jun 13, 2011) in Emini S&P that worths a more detailed explanation. The Setup
  • Market down more than 2 to 3 percent from previous month close
  • Market gap up but within previous day trading range
  • Tried to gap up and go (i.e. rally off open at once) but stopped after 15 minutes
  • Then the next hour trapped within OR (open range or the first 30 minutes)
  • Extremely bearish $tick reading all along
  • Last swing down coming off VWAP
...

2 comments


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Emini S&P Day Close to Range Distribution

To answer a question from our member, here is the distribution plot of Emini S&P close of the day relative to the range of the day. By representing the price as a percentage of the RTH range, centered at the midpoint, we get a distribution gra ...

2 comments


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