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Archive for OpEx

Jul
16

OpEx Friday

Posted by: Lawrence Chan | Comments (1)
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Finally, the open gap that was not filled yesterday in ES and SPY are now filled as I type this post at 11 am.

What’s next?

  • Scenario 1 – stuck between here and 1090 fir the reset of the day if the intended settlement price by close is 1080 zone
  • Scenario 2 – ES stays below S1 at 1079 for several hours and crash further to a new low in 3 pm, putting mid-1060 in play
  • Scenario 3 – ES printing new low in 11 am and a strong trend sell day is established with multiple day downside target at low 1050s
Categories : Daily Commentary
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Jul
15

OpEx Countdown

Posted by: Lawrence Chan | Comments Comments Off
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It is 10:15 now and everything worked according to the usual OpEx behaviour.

The gap fill we are seeing now in ES will take SPX down to 1070s area.

Categories : Daily Commentary
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Jul
13

OpEx dynamics at works til Friday

Posted by: Lawrence Chan | Comments Comments Off
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It is the last few days to option expiration Friday for July.

Yes it is a bit early for a 3rd Friday and it does happen from time to time.

What it means for S&P 500 and its related products?

  • At least 5 to 6 swings of 10+ points
  • Going back to previous month close level or even 50% of this month’s range
  • Forced gap fill of all nearby gaps
Categories : Daily Commentary
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