S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast

Weekly comments on the forecast made by the S&P market breadth analog model. Daily update of the report is available in Daily Market Breadth Monitor (US Indices).

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breadth_forecast_20150702
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Jul 6, 2015

Review of Forecast for Jun 29, 2015 Gap lower on Greece situation. That ruled out the potential for a 1% bounce at the start of the week and led to continuous selling the rest of the week even though S&P gapped higher every trading day. The br ...

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breadth_forecast_20150626
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Jun 29, 2015

Review of Forecast for Jun 22, 2015 Rumor over the weekend on Greece led to a jump of almost 1% higher. All week selling since at the predicted 2% magnitude. The breadth analog model did a great job last week. Forecast Starting Jun 29, 2015 ...

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breadth_forecast_20150619
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Jun 22, 2015

Review of Forecast for Jun 15, 2015 The expectation of volatile price actions was correct with 1% swing down and then 2% straight up. The swing top potential is there given Friday's weak close but it is still under development. The breadth analog ...

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breadth_forecast_20150612
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Jun 15, 2015

Review of Forecast for Jun 8, 2015 The expectation of volatile price actions was correct with 1% swing down and then 2% straight up. The risk of 5% downside move did not materialize as a hoax about a deal with Greece changed everything. The breadt ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150605
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Jun 8, 2015

Review of Forecast for Jun 1, 2015 The expectation of volatile price actions was correct. We are looking at the start of a 5% downside move also taking shape. The breadth analog model did an excellent job last week. Forecast Starting Jun 8, 201 ...

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breadth_forecast_20150529
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Jun 1, 2015

Review of Forecast for May 25, 2015 The expectation of a modest decline was correct. 1.5% decline was registered but did not drop further thanks to rumors were spread about Greece at critical moment last week. The potential of a strong decline is ...

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market_breadth_forecast_20150522
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting May 25, 2015

Review of Forecast for May 18, 2015 The expectation of limited upside was correct. In fact, all week consolidation. The potential of starting a strong decline was not confirmed yet. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast St ...

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breadth_forecast_20150515
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting May 18, 2015

Review of Forecast for May 11, 2015 The expectation of 1.5% or more upside was interrupted by price shock early in the week. Yet S&P held up fine at previous week midpoint and indeed started a rally of near 2%. The breadth analog model did not ...

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breadth_forecast_20150508
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting May 11, 2015

Review of Forecast for May 4, 2015 The expectation of 2nd week of correction predicted the scenario correctly. Bottom out within the week too. The breadth analog model did an excellent job again. Forecast Starting May 11, 2015 Summary of the ...

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breadth_forecast_20150501
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting May 4, 2015

Review of Forecast for Apr 27, 2015 The significant selling warning nailed the scenario completely. The breadth analog model did an excellent job again. Forecast Starting May 4, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my ...

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