Latest Trading Research & Articles

iStock_000001603593XSmall Latest research and articles on trading and day trading related matters. Research mainly focuses on Emini and Forex markets. You will find in-depth research on trading techniques, market biases and trading signals that you will never read from anywhere else. You can always find something useful to improve your trading here.

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To view specific category of articles like Emini only articles, Forex only research or trading system design related posts, use the menu to the left to select the specific topic you are interested in.

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Compound Effect from Multiple Filters  member only

Answering a question from our reader - Would using multiple criteria like combining the condition of close greater than or equal to pivot (PP) and the condition of close greater than or equal to volume weighted average price (VWAP) produce stronger b ...

2 comments


Essence of Trading: Only Man-made Roads are Straight and Smooth

Ever observe a tree in detail? From afar, a tree may look tall and sturdy. That is just our impression of the tree. By looking at a tree carefully, you would notice that it is not quite accurate. Its branches are never grown in straight lines. The ...

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SPY Range Expansion Behaviour

This is a study on the probability of SPY expanding its range as a multiple of the average range over 10 days period. The study was originally done by our member smilingsynic. I am just reproducing the results here using data from 1993 up to last Fr ...

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What to Expect After 2 Down Days?  member only

One of my favorite daily level Time Map patterns is that Emini S&P dropped for 2 days significantly. It provides something so consistent to work with over the years you have to wonder why no one talks about it at all.

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9 comments


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Trading with Tick Index: Tick1K and its Divergence Signals

Someone asked what I mean by “custom tick divergence” in my real-time commentaries. Here are 5 charts (one day each) for the past week with Emini S&P, $Tick index and my DNO_Tick1K index. (You can expand them to full size for better viewing.) ...

4 comments


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Black Swan 2 - A Simple End of Day ETF Strategy That Works  member only

Some time ago I wrote an article titled The Black Swan that explains the fundamental problem with buy-and-hold strategy when applied onto stock market. This time we are going to take a look at the first of several strategies that can beat buy-and-hold strategy hands down in terms of better risk control and capital deployment.

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Where There's a Rule, There's a Way

The article in Wired magazine is a great reminder to all traders of what modern trading is all about. The article is not about trading, by the way. It is a story of a geological statistician, Mohan Srivastava, who cracked the code of a scratch-n-win ...

3 comments


Defensive Money Management Explained: The Death Trap Of Averaging Losers

Part 5 of the series - focus on the pitfalls related to averaging down. ...

12 comments


Defensive Money Management Explained: How To Ruin Your Winning Strategy

Part 4 of the series - the evaluation and integration of multiple trading setups or systems ...

3 comments


Defensive Money Management Explained: How Risk Is Controlled

Part 3 of the series - risk control is more important than seeking higher winning percentage, at least in the beginning stage of building a trading career ...

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