S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast

Weekly comments on the forecast made by the S&P market breadth analog model. Daily update of the report is available in Daily Market Breadth Monitor (US Indices).

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S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 16, 2015

Review of Mar 9, 2015 Forecast Downside risk within 2.5% was realized and Trend Down was in force all week. First posted forecast did a good job.   Forecast Starting Mar 16, 2015 Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my prop ...

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S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 23, 2015

Review of Mar 16, 2015 Bullish bias realized for the week. Even though FOMC decision has driven S&P going straight up, S&P500 could barely enter the +2.5% boundary. A good forecast overall.   Forecast Starting Mar 23, 2015 Summary of ...

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breadth_forecast_20150306
S&P500 Short Term Market Breadth Analog Forecast Starting Mar 9, 2015

Summary of the S&P500 short-term forecast based on my proprietary market breadth analog model as of the close on March 6, 2015: Downside risk of 2.5% or more still exist but under control. In coming 10 days, S&P500 is more likely to d ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160729
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Aug 1, 2016

Review of Forecast for Jul 25, 2016 No 1% move in either direction led to range bounded actions, so 2% breakout play not triggered. Breadth sell setups not confirmed yet. The breadth analog model did a fair job last week. Forecast Starting Aug ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160819
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Aug 15, 2016

Review of Forecast for Aug 8, 2016 No 1% move in either direction led to range bounded actions, so 2% breakout play not triggered. Longer term breadth sell setups developing but not confirmed yet. Upside bias worked out. The breadth analog model d ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160819
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Aug 22, 2016

Review of Forecast for Aug 15, 2016 No 1% move in either direction led to range bounded actions, so 2% breakout play not triggered. Slingshot move materialized. Longer term breadth sell setups happened but resulted in minimal downside actions only ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160826
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Aug 29, 2016

Review of Forecast for Aug 22, 2016 No 1% move in either direction led to range bounded actions, so 2% breakout play not triggered. Slingshot move materialized. Short term breadth sell mode working out perfectly. The breadth analog model did an ex ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160807
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Aug 8, 2016

Review of Forecast for Aug 1, 2016 No 1% move in either direction led to range bounded actions, so 2% breakout play not triggered. Longer term breadth sell setups not confirmed yet. Intraday volatility spikes as expected. The breadth analog model ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160708
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Jul 11, 2016

Review of Forecast for Jul 4, 2016 Sharp pullback at the beginning of the week as forecasted. Since then rally all the way up and capped below the 1.5% upside as projected as well. The breadth analog model did another perfect job two weeks in a ro ...

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custom_market_breadth_20160715
S&P500 Market Breadth Driven Short Term Forecast Starting Jul 18, 2016

Review of Forecast for Jul 11, 2016 First half of the week the 1.5% upside cap looked working but then last 2 days of the option expiration week cleared the resistance. No down move at all so downside expansion did not happen. The breadth analog m ...

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