Nonfarm Payroll Week Trading Models

By Lawrence

It is well know among many professional traders that NFP week has a strong bullish bias. But as I have shown in the article, Nonfarm Payroll Report Bias, it is not that simple in utilizing this bias in reality. I am going to show you 3 trading models, 2 swing and 1 daytrade, with exact rules that transform the basic  idea into robust trading systems.

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  • skippy March 4, 2013 at 11:36 am

    Brilliant on so many levels. Thanks!

  • roblovet February 1, 2016 at 5:51 pm

    Did you ever run the series only for Fridays that printed the highest high in the relevant week? That happened this week. Was it just inconsistent? Or was it a net negative?

    • Lawrence February 4, 2016 at 9:28 am

      These Fridays lead to 50/50 directional move on NFP day specifically.

  • roblovet February 4, 2016 at 4:54 pm

    Thank you

  • ekpalmer January 15, 2023 at 1:22 am

    It looks to me like this model stopped working around 2013, although it does seem to pick up again starting in 2017. Any idea why it’s behavior changed so much?

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