Recap Mentioned last week ES would be influenced by NQ and it happened. ES was weak and failed to hold Y-0 yet strength in NQ carried ES higher and forced an upside breakout in ES eventually. Short squeeze, however, did not carry ES much higher. Not even Y+2 was tagged. Closed the week at week high and above Y+1.
Outlook Signs of distribution in the underlying components detected in real-time. Distribution phase takes time and they usually happens while the market is going higher, not lower.
Chart pattern suggests consolidation around Y+2 / B+1 area this week. Retest of Y+1 is possible if a strong reversal setup against B+1 happens later in the week.
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Consolidation around previous week close. Y-0 acted as support. Closed the week above Y-0 and midpoint.
Outlook
Consolidation instead of pullback from blowoff action is bullish. This points to ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
News shock sent cable back down to Y-1 and 100% range expansion. Stops were triggered and led to further downside to Y-2 before support is found. Closed the week ...
S&P 500 Aug 05 to Aug 09 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
Mentioned last week ES would be influenced by NQ and it happened. ES was weak and failed to hold Y-0 yet strength in NQ carried ES higher and forced an upside breakout in ES eventually. Short squeeze, however, did not carry ES much higher. Not even Y+2 was tagged. Closed the week at week high and above Y+1.
Outlook
Signs of distribution in the underlying components detected in real-time. Distribution phase takes time and they usually happens while the market is going higher, not lower.
Chart pattern suggests consolidation around Y+2 / B+1 area this week. Retest of Y+1 is possible if a strong reversal setup against B+1 happens later in the week.
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