S&P 500 Aug 05 to Aug 09 Outlook

By News Robot

Lawrence’s Comment

Recap
Mentioned last week ES would be influenced by NQ and it happened. ES was weak and failed to hold Y-0 yet strength in NQ carried ES higher and forced an upside breakout in ES eventually. Short squeeze, however, did not carry ES much higher. Not even Y+2 was tagged. Closed the week at week high and above Y+1.

Outlook
Signs of distribution in the underlying components detected in real-time. Distribution phase takes time and they usually happens while the market is going higher, not lower.

Chart pattern suggests consolidation around Y+2 / B+1 area this week. Retest of Y+1 is possible if a strong reversal setup against B+1 happens later in the week.

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