Latest Trading Research & Articles

iStock_000001603593XSmall Latest research and articles on trading and day trading related matters. Research mainly focuses on Emini and Forex markets. You will find in-depth research on trading techniques, market biases and trading signals that you will never read from anywhere else. You can always find something useful to improve your trading here.

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Defensive Money Management Explained: How to Evaluate a Trading Strategy (or Your Edge) Objectively  premium content

One of the fundamental questions that we have to ask ourselves when we see a profitable trading strategy is that whether the strategy will reform well in the future. All kinds of testing are invented from walk-forward testing to Monte Carlo simulatio ...

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Defensive Money Management Explained: When Your Trading Style Fails

Quite a number of fund manager and pro trader friends have experienced significant drawdown so far in year 2017. Partly thanks to the uncertainties of the current geopolitical environment, these veteran professionals all have expressed their frustrat ...

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Market Breadth Primer: VIX Phenomenon 2017 Edition

I wrote about the Volatility Index (VIX) several years ago explaining why it behaves the way it is. I also presented the idea that understanding the players in the trading game is more important than focusing just on the technical details like the Gr ...

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Year of the Rooster Stock Market Forecast

I presents to you the 5th annual stock market forecast based on the Chinese 19-year solar lunar cycle. This is the year of the Roaster which comes after the year of the monkey. Since the cycle actually starts from early February 2017 for 365 days, I ...

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Year 2017 Reversal Dates for the US Stock Market Based on the 19-Year Solar Lunar Cycle  premium content

Here is the 19-year solar lunar cycle (Chinese calendar cycle) projection on Dow Jones Industrial Average for year 2017. The reversal dates work well with S&P500 and Nasdaq 100 as well. Content Big Picture Visualization List of Reversal D ...

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Trading with Tick Index: S&P500 Tick1K Index Mismatch Leading Signals

To utilize S&P500 Tick1K Index, we can start from its basic properties of being highly correlated to the bar to bar pattern with Emini S&P (and SPY too) on 5-minute chart and also its cleaner trend advantage. From these two properties, I have ...

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Introduction to Emini S&P Real-Time Custom Market Breadth

Emini S&P Real-Time Custom Market Breadth is part of the real-time trading tool set for Emini S&P traders and all traders who need a better market timing tool for their day trading need. The first generation Emini real-time custom market brea ...

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Review and Update: Year 2016 Reversal Dates for the US Stock Market Based on the 19-Year Solar Lunar Cycle  premium content

Here is an update to the forecast based on the Chinese calendar 19-year solar lunar cycle for the rest of the year. Content Actual Results vs. Forecast Outlook for Rest of the Year Going into end of January 2017   For the list of the ...

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Relative Efficiency of Return on Investment with Trading Comparing to Other Businesses

I wrote in my blog two weeks ago about trading income which somehow generated quite a number of emails asking for clarifications of what I mean. So here it is again on the same topic with examples to illustrate the point. This should allow people who ...

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Legally Preparing for the Unexpected

A trader friend experienced chest pain and numbing feeling all over on her upper body earlier this week. She had such experience before and thought that by resting and taking a few pain killers the troubles would go away. It did not and she was hospi ...

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