Latest Trading Research & Articles

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Compound Effect from Multiple Filters 
Answering a question from our reader - Would using multiple criteria like combining the condition of close greater than or equal to pivot (PP) and the condition of close greater than or equal to volume weighted average price (VWAP) produce stronger b ...

Answering a question from our reader - Would using multiple criteria like combining the condition of close greater than or equal to pivot (PP) and the condition of close greater than or equal to volume weighted average price (VWAP) produce stronger b ...
Essence of Trading: Only Man-made Roads are Straight and Smooth
Ever observe a tree in detail? From afar, a tree may look tall and sturdy. That is just our impression of the tree. By looking at a tree carefully, you would notice that it is not quite accurate. Its branches are never grown in straight lines. The ...
Ever observe a tree in detail? From afar, a tree may look tall and sturdy. That is just our impression of the tree. By looking at a tree carefully, you would notice that it is not quite accurate. Its branches are never grown in straight lines. The ...
SPY Range Expansion Behaviour
This is a study on the probability of SPY expanding its range as a multiple of the average range over 10 days period. The study was originally done by our member smilingsynic. I am just reproducing the results here using data from 1993 up to last Fr ...
This is a study on the probability of SPY expanding its range as a multiple of the average range over 10 days period. The study was originally done by our member smilingsynic. I am just reproducing the results here using data from 1993 up to last Fr ...
What to Expect After 2 Down Days? 



One of my favorite daily level Time Map patterns is that Emini S&P dropped for 2 days significantly. It provides something so consistent to work with over the years you have to wonder why no one talks about it at all.
...Trading with Tick Index: Tick1K and its Divergence Signals
Someone asked what I mean by “custom tick divergence” in my real-time commentaries. Here are 5 charts (one day each) for the past week with Emini S&P, $Tick index and my DNO_Tick1K index. (You can expand them to full size for better viewing.) ...
Someone asked what I mean by “custom tick divergence” in my real-time commentaries. Here are 5 charts (one day each) for the past week with Emini S&P, $Tick index and my DNO_Tick1K index. (You can expand them to full size for better viewing.) ...
Black Swan 2 - A Simple End of Day ETF Strategy That Works 

Some time ago I wrote an article titled The Black Swan that explains the fundamental problem with buy-and-hold strategy when applied onto stock market. This time we are going to take a look at the first of several strategies that can beat buy-and-hold strategy hands down in terms of better risk control and capital deployment.
...Where There's a Rule, There's a Way
The article in Wired magazine is a great reminder to all traders of what modern trading is all about. The article is not about trading, by the way. It is a story of a geological statistician, Mohan Srivastava, who cracked the code of a scratch-n-win ...
The article in Wired magazine is a great reminder to all traders of what modern trading is all about. The article is not about trading, by the way. It is a story of a geological statistician, Mohan Srivastava, who cracked the code of a scratch-n-win ...
Defensive Money Management Explained: The Death Trap Of Averaging Losers
Part 5 of the series - focus on the pitfalls related to averaging down. ...
Part 5 of the series - focus on the pitfalls related to averaging down. ...
Defensive Money Management Explained: How To Ruin Your Winning Strategy
Part 4 of the series - the evaluation and integration of multiple trading setups or systems ...
Part 4 of the series - the evaluation and integration of multiple trading setups or systems ...
Defensive Money Management Explained: How Risk Is Controlled
Part 3 of the series - risk control is more important than seeking higher winning percentage, at least in the beginning stage of building a trading career ...
Part 3 of the series - risk control is more important than seeking higher winning percentage, at least in the beginning stage of building a trading career ...
