Recap As expected the rising wedge did not last. It was broken to the down side and the selloff almost tagged my downside target. Euro bounced before the target was reached. A steep rally from the low took euro back up to 100% absolute range expansion. Closed the week at Y-0 and above midpoint.
Outlook Below Y-1 was rejected decisively. Yet rally higher has no strength. The pop up to B+1 is a retest of the rising wedge support line from below. So far the support line holds thus we are looking at a potential longer term top in the making. As long as Y+1 is not breached on weekly close basis euro should go much lower.
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Lawrence's Comment
Recap
Previous week close support sent cable up to test Y-1. Y-1 resistance dropped this back down to week low / 1.41 round number. Closed the week above Y-0 and ...
Lawrence's Comment
Recap
One of the easier plays last week even though it was a bit wild. FBO in beginning of the week gave us at least a test of Y-0. And ...
EURUSD Aug 19 to Aug 23 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
As expected the rising wedge did not last. It was broken to the down side and the selloff almost tagged my downside target. Euro bounced before the target was reached. A steep rally from the low took euro back up to 100% absolute range expansion. Closed the week at Y-0 and above midpoint.
Outlook
Below Y-1 was rejected decisively. Yet rally higher has no strength. The pop up to B+1 is a retest of the rising wedge support line from below. So far the support line holds thus we are looking at a potential longer term top in the making. As long as Y+1 is not breached on weekly close basis euro should go much lower.
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