"Market Bias Observer" Posts

MBO Issue 119 (November 2021) Almost There

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro In A Waiting Game S&P Did Not Disappoint Gold Is Lagging Behind Bitcoin Has More Room To Go 10-Year Note Yield Suggests Yield Curve Control Is Here Big Picture Summary Review Euro struggling at its down channel bottom and trying hard to hold the midpoint of its rally from early 2020 as […]

MBO Issue 118 (October 2021) Breaking Down of Multiple Narratives

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Following Its Yearly STOPD Play S&P Weekly Pullback May End Soon Gold Still No Strong Direction Bias Bitcoin Not Your Usual Uptrend 10-Year Note Yield Going Higher as Expected Big Picture Summary Review Euro stays weak as expected and flushed down to down channel support. S&P traded down to the red support […]

MBO Issue 117 (September 2021) A Dark Future

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Measured Move on Daily Completed S&P Edging Higher for a Showdown at Key STOPD Level Gold Bugs Have to Wait Bitcoin Magic 10-Year Note Yield on Schedule Big Picture Summary Review Euro measured move lower as expected and reaction to the support zone also as expected. Nothing new there. S&P pushed higher […]

MBO Issue 116 Special Update

By Lawrence
MarketBiasObserver Special Update

With Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting coming up, it is time to review where the markets stand and what to do about it. First, here is the latest market breadth analog says as of Aug 24, 2021 closing. It is a long time since the analog model says anything bearish. The problem, however, is that a […]

MBO Issue 116 (August 2021) Will Fed Do the Right Thing

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Weekly Down Trend Intact S&P Drifting Higher With Serious Downside Risk Gold Weekly Compression In Place Bitcoin Daily Up Trend In Place 10-Year Note Yield Yearly STOPD Level Support Big Picture Summary Review Euro depressed by the previous weekly up channel bottom as expected. VIX volatility indeed jumped and VIX put options […]

MBO Issue 115 (July 2021) Melt Up In Progress And Let The Fireworks Begin

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro New Down Trend On Daily Established S&P Melt Up In Progress Gold Is Running Out Of Time Bitcoin Fighting For Its Existence 10-Year Note Yield Waiting For Its Next Move Big Picture Summary Review Euro channel mid resistance confirmed and started a new down trend on daily. Breaking the channel support was […]

MBO Issue 114 (June 2021) The Word Transitory Is Too Ambiguous

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Going Nowhere S&P Is Tired Gold In Bullish Time Window Still Bitcoin Near Term Projection 10-Year Note Yield Projection Hasn’t Changed Big Picture Summary Review Euro stuck in tight range waiting for something significant to happen. S&P going nowhere like Euro, except it is staying at its all time high with extremely […]

MBO Issue 113 (May 2021) Everything is Hanging on the Direction of US Dollar

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Lifted by Bearish Speculation on US Dollar S&P Equal Distance Move Mostly Completed Gold Bullish Scenario Unstable Bitcoin Downside Target Established 10-Year Note Yield Rate Up Cycle Projection Big Picture Summary Review Euro found support at up channel bottom, recovered to channel mid. S&P traded up to target resistance zone and reacted […]

MBO Issue 112 Special Update

By Lawrence
MarketBiasObserver Special Update

This is a special update for S&P500 on Apr 26, 2021. We’ve got everything lined up right now for a perfect storm. For those of you prefer not to read the full report can jump to the end for the trade idea. S&P May Seasonal Seasonal chart for S&P can be accessed on the signal […]

MBO Issue 112 (Apr 2021) Hopes and Dreams

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Bulls are Trapped S&P Feels the Power of 2 Trillion Dollars Gold in Weekly Consolidation Bitcoin at Its Most Important Junction 10-Year Note Yield Rate can Go a Lot Higher and Much Faster Than Anticipated Big Picture Summary Review Euro traded down to weekly down channel support as expected. S&P “anti-setup” worked […]