"Market Bias Observer" Posts

MBO Issue 125 (May 2022) A New Trading Era

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Falling But How Far S&P Getting Near Its Support Gold Failed To Hold At Higher Support Bitcoin In Deepsh*t 10-Year Note Yield In Melt Up Phase Big Picture Summary Review Euro on its way to find its long term bottom as expected and the door to go much lower has been opened […]

MBO Issue 124 (April 2022) Risk of Extreme Volatility

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Searching for a Bottom S&P Correction Over? Gold Complex Top in the Making Bitcoin Survived 10-Year Note Yield Target Reached Big Picture Summary Review Euro trying hard to hold the channel expansion target with extreme swings both ways around that. S&P broke the steep down trend line and recovered quickly above 4500 […]

MBO Issue 123 (March 2022) SNAFU 2

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro on Its Way to Find Its Long Term Bottom S&P Down Trend Established Gold Upside Breakout Bitcoin Struggling to Form a Bottom 10-Year Note Yield Smashed Big Picture Summary Review Euro not able to clear the down channel bottom and went for the next lower channel bottom. Long term bottom building continue. […]

MBO Issue 122 (February 2022) SNAFU

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Longer Term Bottom Forming S&P Pullback Target Tagged Gold Going Nowhere Bitcoin Chart Is Misread by Too Many People 10-Year Note Yield On Track To Go Higher Big Picture Summary Review Euro news shock took it lower yet reversed quickly and recovered higher which confirms the longer term support conjecture from last […]

MBO Issue 121 (January 2022) Let’s Pray

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Long Term Up Channel S&P Not Ready for Serious Correction Yet Gold Need a Reason to Move Bitcoin Hanging on a Thread 10-Year Note Can’t Lie Big Picture Summary Review Euro stunned and stuck at the neutral zone as expected. Powell and gang defended S&P going into 2021 year end right on […]

MBO Issue 120 (December 2021) Someone Trying To Cancel Christmas

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Stunned S&P Seasonal Pullback Started Gold Stuck in Compression Bitcoin Existential Threat 10-Year Note YCC Confirmed Big Picture Summary Review Euro failed to even try to take out the channel mid above and broken down to below 1.14 as expected. Upper boundary indeed defined for S&P before option expiration week and the […]

MBO Issue 119 (November 2021) Almost There

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro In A Waiting Game S&P Did Not Disappoint Gold Is Lagging Behind Bitcoin Has More Room To Go 10-Year Note Yield Suggests Yield Curve Control Is Here Big Picture Summary Review Euro struggling at its down channel bottom and trying hard to hold the midpoint of its rally from early 2020 as […]

MBO Issue 118 (October 2021) Breaking Down of Multiple Narratives

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Following Its Yearly STOPD Play S&P Weekly Pullback May End Soon Gold Still No Strong Direction Bias Bitcoin Not Your Usual Uptrend 10-Year Note Yield Going Higher as Expected Big Picture Summary Review Euro stays weak as expected and flushed down to down channel support. S&P traded down to the red support […]

MBO Issue 117 (September 2021) A Dark Future

By Lawrence

Content Review Euro Measured Move on Daily Completed S&P Edging Higher for a Showdown at Key STOPD Level Gold Bugs Have to Wait Bitcoin Magic 10-Year Note Yield on Schedule Big Picture Summary Review Euro measured move lower as expected and reaction to the support zone also as expected. Nothing new there. S&P pushed higher […]

MBO Issue 116 Special Update

By Lawrence
MarketBiasObserver Special Update

With Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting coming up, it is time to review where the markets stand and what to do about it. First, here is the latest market breadth analog says as of Aug 24, 2021 closing. It is a long time since the analog model says anything bearish. The problem, however, is that a […]