Recap As expected we got a consolidation but Y-0 was never touched. this indicated a lot more trapped shorts were still refusing to give up. That led to the 3rd stop run in 2nd half of the week. Closed the week near Y+1 and above midpoint.
Outlook A clear pocket is now in place visible on 4 hour. This pocket will be filled quickly if euro fails to push above B+1. Very similar to what happened last time back in 2013 where majority of the short positions had to be destroyed first before euro can go lower.
Daily setup of a break below B-2 with B-1 turning into resistance will provide the necessary fuel to go much lower.
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Lawrence's Comments
Recap
After 3 weeks of consolidation, finally a breakout from tight range. 200% expansion target (Y+3) reached and stalled from there. Closed the week above week midpoint.
Outlook
The upmove ...
EURUSD Mar 17 to Mar 21 Outlook
Lawrence’s Comment
As expected we got a consolidation but Y-0 was never touched. this indicated a lot more trapped shorts were still refusing to give up. That led to the 3rd stop run in 2nd half of the week. Closed the week near Y+1 and above midpoint.
Outlook
A clear pocket is now in place visible on 4 hour. This pocket will be filled quickly if euro fails to push above B+1. Very similar to what happened last time back in 2013 where majority of the short positions had to be destroyed first before euro can go lower.
Daily setup of a break below B-2 with B-1 turning into resistance will provide the necessary fuel to go much lower.
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