Trading System Concepts and Design


Trading models are created so that the so called human factor can be minimized. Most of the time, production trading models are utilized by firms like hedge funds and larger institutions. Retail traders having access to backtesting tools like TradeStation and other trading platforms can build their own trading systems easily but rarely do they successfully deploy any models to trade their own money.

Over the years I have helped many hedge funds and pro traders developing, refining and maintaining trading models. The sharp contrast between professionals and the retail traders in understanding what trading systems are driving me insane sometimes.

Here is a partial list of articles I have written on building trading system over the years. I have organized the material below into several sections so that it would be easier to find them. Whenever I can locate the rest of the articles I have written will add them here.


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alphabetical order | posting date

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Intraday Bias: Month End Play  premium content

Month end is often depicted as the day that certain players would conduct window dressing to push the stock market higher. I have debunked the myth in the Survival Guide To Trading The Stock Market Month Ends. Now, we are looking into useful biases t ...

2 comments


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Introduction To Real-Time Trading Assistant

Real-Time Trading Assistant is designed to provide real-time updates on known statistical biases and trading models. The summary information provided will allow the traders to evaluate the current conditions of the market more objectively. It is simp ...

3 comments


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Lunar Cycle - Long Only Model  member only

I have one of my guys worked on this and here is the result of a trading system based on lunar cycle that looks like it works. ...

2 comments


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Market Breadth Primer: Advance / Decline Issues Bear Strike (Signal ID: AD Bear Strike)  premium content

Advance / Decline Issues Bear Strike is a day trading model based on real-time advance / decline issues. It is a very consistent mechanical trading model and a useful trading setup for discretionary traders. Similar to the Advance / Decline Issues Bu ...

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Market Breadth Primer: Advance / Decline Issues Bull Charge (Signal ID: AD Bull Charge)  premium content

Advance / Decline Issues Bull Charge is a day trading model based on real-time advance / decline issues only. It is not only a very consistent mechanical trading model. It is also a very useful trading setup because it helps the traders to realize th ...

2 comments


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Market Breadth Primer: CHADTP Past and Present

This article is going to show you an example on the change in characteristics of the Advance / Decline Issues affecting trading models based on the breadth data. The example system I am going to use is called Conner Hayward Advance Decline Trading Pa ...

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Misunderstanding of Trading System Designs

Most retail traders misunderstand that trading systems are created by ad hoc grinding in trying out all kinds of rules to see if a system is profitable (or whatever metric you like to use as the performance yardstick). Here is a short summary of the ...

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Moving Average Is More Than What You Think - Part 3

Some readers are very forthcoming, they simply email me and complained to me for wasting their time in talking about moving average as something that is useful at all. I replied through email asking for their patience and wrapped up this third instal ...

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Moving Average Is More Than What You Think - Part 4

The trading system presented in Formula 301 #3 Intraday Moving Average Crossover with Position Sizing is a moving average based trading system that works year after year. Following is a reprint of that article. Many users are very intereste ...

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NDX Down 2 Percent Daytrading Model  member onlypremium content

Many of you have read my Nasdaq 100 Down 2% Trading Setup article. Some of you complained that it is very difficult to convert the bias into an usable edge. Here is an example trading model showing you how. [DTBMember] The Performance Followin ...

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