S&P 500 Dec 12 to Dec 16 Outlook

By News Robot

Lawrence’s Comment

Recap
Similar to Dow except weaker. Gap top tested and bounced off. But failed to force for a gap fill above as well.

Outlook
Seldom do we get ES to close on a day that challenged 2 gaps and non of those are filled. That tells us very strong resistance above head and very strong support below B-1.

As long as we do not get more news shock, ES would likely drift around B-0 downto B-1 this week.

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Comments
  • geosing December 11, 2011 at 3:19 pm

    A general question on the weekly outlook.

    I see that you look at not just the week that concluded (Blue), but also the week prior (yellow). Your forecasts some times target the Y levels, other times the B levels. Is there some logic that determines which of the levels becomes most relevant? e.g. completion of some structural objectives in Y so that B becomes more important.
    I also wonder why Y levels even come to play, because one week of price action has occurred following the price action of the Y week. Any help on this will be very instructive to STOPD students to develop such outlooks in other markets.

  • Lawrence Chan December 11, 2011 at 4:15 pm

    Most of the time, the week prior to last week if it is also the 1st week of the month, plays a more important role in shaping the rest of the month thus you will see me referring to them.

    Very simple – strictly STOPD principles and no magic. =)

  • geosing December 11, 2011 at 4:28 pm

    Thank you for the quick response. I had considered that, but I recall such references even during the later weeks. I will study the archives with this bias in mind.

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